North Melbourne Kangaroos vs Essendon Bombers Prediction — 28.06.2026

Teams Form Analysis

North Melbourne Kangaroos have shown a mixed form in their last ten matches, winning four and losing six. Their recent victory against Richmond Tigers (73-48) indicates a positive trend, but they also suffered a heavy defeat against Fremantle Dockers (31-155). In contrast, Essendon Bombers have struggled significantly, with only two wins in their last ten games, including a recent loss to Melbourne Demons (50-95). This disparity in form suggests that North Melbourne may have a slight edge going into the match.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In terms of scoring, North Melbourne averages 70.8 points per game while conceding 102.8, indicating a defensive vulnerability. Essendon, on the other hand, averages 57.8 points scored and 86.0 points conceded. The head-to-head record heavily favors Essendon, with seven wins out of eight encounters. However, North Melbourne's home advantage at the Melbourne Cricket Ground could play a crucial role in this matchup.

North Melbourne Kangaroos — Essendon Bombers Prediction

• Exact Score: 82 – 76
• Q1: 20 – 18
• Q2: 22 – 20
• Q3: 20 – 18
• Q4: 20 – 20
• Total points: 158
• Winning margin: 6
• Disposals: 350 – 330
• Kicks: 200 – 190
• Handballs: 150 – 140
• Total Clearances: 35 – 30
• Marks: 90 – 85
• Tackles: 55 – 50
• Hitouts: 30 – 25
• Goal Assists: 10 – 9
• Free Kicks: 20 – 18

North Melbourne's strategy will likely focus on maintaining possession and utilizing their home ground advantage, while Essendon may need to improve their defensive structure to counter North's scoring threats. The match is expected to be competitive, with both teams aiming to capitalize on their strengths.

3 Reasons Why North Melbourne Kangaroos Will Win

• Home Advantage: North Melbourne has a strong record at home, which could provide them with the necessary boost to secure a win.
• Recent Form: North Melbourne's recent victory against a strong opponent indicates they are finding form, while Essendon continues to struggle.
• Head-to-Head Record: Despite the historical dominance of Essendon, North Melbourne's recent performances suggest they could break the trend in this matchup.

Match Prediction

Date Match W Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Σ ±

28.06.2026 05:15 AFL Premiership

North Melbourne Kangaroos

Essendon Bombers

82 76

20 18

22 20

20 18

20 20

158

6

AFL Stats Forecast

Metric

Disposals 350 330

Kicks 200 190

Handballs 150 140

Total Clearances 35 30

Marks 90 85

Tackles 55 50

Hitouts 30 25

Goal Assists 10 9

Free Kicks 20 18