St Kilda Saints vs Sydney Swans Match result — 01.08.2026

Teams Form Analysis

The St Kilda Saints have struggled in their recent outings, losing 4 of their last 5 matches, including a recent defeat against the Sydney Swans. Their last victory came against North Melbourne, where they scored 93 points. In contrast, the Sydney Swans have shown better form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches, including a strong performance against the Greater Western Sydney Giants, where they scored 139 points.

Head-to-head, the Swans have dominated the Saints, winning 6 out of the last 9 encounters. This trend suggests a significant psychological advantage for Sydney going into this match.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In terms of scoring, St Kilda averages 92 points per game at home, while Sydney averages 96 points away. The Saints have allowed an average of 78.8 points against in their last 10 home games, while the Swans have conceded 85.8 points in their last 10 away games. Additionally, the Saints have a home advantage at Marvel Stadium, where they typically perform better. However, the Swans' recent scoring trend indicates they are capable of breaking through defensive lines effectively.

St Kilda Saints — Sydney Swans Prediction

• Exact Score: 88 – 107
• Q1: 22 – 28
• Q2: 22 – 27
• Q3: 22 – 26
• Q4: 22 – 26
• Total points: 195
• Winning margin: 19
• Disposals: 387 – 365
• Kicks: 218 – 204
• Handballs: 169 – 161
• Total Clearances: 33 – 40
• Marks: 94 – 81
• Tackles: 54 – 48
• Hitouts: 22 – 35
• Goal Assists: 11 – 11
• Free Kicks: 16 – 28

Expect the Swans to utilize their speed and ball movement to exploit the Saints' defensive gaps. They will likely focus on maintaining possession and creating scoring opportunities through quick transitions, while St Kilda will need to tighten their defense to avoid conceding easy goals.

3 Reasons Why Sydney Swans Will Win

• Recent Form: The Swans have won 4 of their last 5 matches, showcasing strong offensive capabilities, while the Saints have struggled with only 1 win in their last 5.
• Head-to-Head Dominance: Sydney has won 6 out of the last 9 encounters against St Kilda, indicating a psychological edge.
• Scoring Consistency: The Swans average 96 points away, while the Saints have allowed 78.8 points at home, suggesting a favorable matchup for Sydney's offense.

Match Prediction

Date Match W Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Σ ±

01.08.2026 03:05 AFL Premiership

St Kilda Saints

Sydney Swans

88 107

22 28

22 27

22 26

22 26

195

19

AFL Stats Forecast

Metric

Disposals 387 365

Kicks 218 204

Handballs 169 161

Total Clearances 33 40

Marks 94 81

Tackles 54 48

Hitouts 22 35

Goal Assists 11 11

Free Kicks 16 28