Sydney Swans vs Adelaide Crows Match result — 17.07.2026

Teams Form Analysis

The Sydney Swans have struggled in their recent outings, losing 4 of their last 5 matches, including a disappointing performance against the Adelaide Crows where they scored only 71 points. Their average goals per game in the last 10 matches stands at 82.0, while they have conceded an average of 93.8 points. In contrast, the Adelaide Crows have shown a much stronger form, winning 4 of their last 5 matches, including a dominant victory over the Gold Coast Suns with a score of 128 to 49. They have averaged 92.8 points scored per game in their last 10 matches, while conceding only 70.6 points.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

In terms of head-to-head matchups, the Adelaide Crows have won 5 out of the last 7 encounters against the Sydney Swans, showcasing a strong historical advantage. The last match ended with the Crows defeating the Swans 87 to 71. The Swans will be playing at their home ground, the Sydney Cricket Ground, which typically provides a slight advantage, but their recent form suggests they may struggle to capitalize on this. The Crows have also had a more favorable scoring trend, indicating they are more likely to maintain their scoring consistency.

Sydney Swans — Adelaide Crows Prediction

• Exact Score: 71 – 87
• Q1: 15 – 25
• Q2: 20 – 30
• Q3: 18 – 20
• Q4: 18 – 12
• Total points: 158
• Winning margin: 16
• Disposals: 352 – 409
• Kicks: 201 – 258
• Handballs: 151 – 151
• Total Clearances: 38 – 51
• Marks: 53 – 85
• Tackles: 59 – 72
• Hitouts: 52 – 36
• Goal Assists: 8 – 8
• Free Kicks: 14 – 19

In this matchup, the Crows are expected to maintain their scoring efficiency while the Swans may struggle to keep pace. The Crows' ability to dominate clearances and marks will likely play a crucial role in their victory, allowing them to control the game and limit the Swans' scoring opportunities.

3 Reasons Why Adelaide Crows Will Win

• Recent Form: The Adelaide Crows have won 4 of their last 5 matches, while the Sydney Swans have lost 4 out of their last 5, indicating a significant disparity in current performance.
• Head-to-Head Advantage: Historically, the Crows have won 5 out of the last 7 encounters against the Swans, reinforcing their dominance in this matchup.
• Scoring Consistency: The Crows have averaged 92.8 points in their last 10 matches, while the Swans have only managed 82.0, suggesting the Crows are more likely to score effectively.

Match Prediction

Date Match W Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Σ ±

17.07.2026 09:40 AFL Premiership

Sydney Swans

Adelaide Crows

71 87

15 25

20 30

18 20

18 12

158

16

AFL Stats Forecast

Metric

Disposals 352 409

Kicks 201 258

Handballs 151 151

Total Clearances 38 51

Marks 53 85

Tackles 59 72

Hitouts 52 36

Goal Assists 8 8

Free Kicks 14 19