Hawthorn Hawks vs Greater Western Sydney Giants Prediction — 26.06.2026

Teams Form Analysis

The Hawthorn Hawks have shown a mixed form in their last ten matches, winning four and losing six. Their recent victory against the Gold Coast Suns (113-97) indicates a potential resurgence. Conversely, the Greater Western Sydney Giants have struggled, with only two wins in their last ten games, including a recent loss to the Carlton Blues (88-65).

In head-to-head matchups, the Giants have had the upper hand historically, winning five out of nine encounters against the Hawks. However, the Hawks have recently secured victories in their last two meetings, suggesting a shift in momentum.

Statistical Analysis & Influencing Factors

Statistically, the Hawks average 91.8 points for and 85.4 points against in their last ten home games, while the Giants average 101.8 points for and 86.0 points against in their last ten away games. The Hawks have a slight advantage in disposals, averaging 362.5 per game compared to the Giants' 365.5. However, the Giants excel in clearances, averaging 33.3 compared to the Hawks' 34.3.

Playing at home, the Hawks will benefit from the venue advantage, which historically boosts their performance. The Giants will need to overcome their recent form slump to compete effectively.

Hawthorn Hawks — Greater Western Sydney Giants Prediction

• Exact Score: 98 – 90
• Q1: 24 – 22
• Q2: 26 – 22
• Q3: 24 – 26
• Q4: 24 – 20
• Total points: 188
• Winning margin: 8
• Disposals: 360 – 355
• Kicks: 210 – 200
• Handballs: 150 – 155
• Total Clearances: 35 – 32
• Marks: 90 – 85
• Tackles: 60 – 55
• Hitouts: 40 – 30
• Goal Assists: 10 – 8
• Free Kicks: 18 – 16

Expect the Hawks to utilize their home ground advantage effectively, focusing on a strong midfield presence to control the game. The Giants will need to improve their defensive structure to limit the Hawks' scoring opportunities.

3 Reasons Why Hawthorn Hawks Will Win

• Home Advantage: The Hawks have a solid home record, which could play a crucial role in their performance.
• Recent Form: The Hawks are coming off a strong win, while the Giants are struggling, which may impact their confidence.
• Head-to-Head Record: The Hawks have won the last two encounters, indicating a psychological edge.

Match Prediction

Date Match W Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Σ ±

26.06.2026 09:40 AFL Premiership

Hawthorn Hawks

Greater Western Sydney Giants

98 90

24 22

26 22

24 26

24 20

188

8

AFL Stats Forecast

Metric

Disposals 360 355

Kicks 210 200

Handballs 150 155

Total Clearances 35 32

Marks 90 85

Tackles 60 55

Hitouts 40 30

Goal Assists 10 8

Free Kicks 18 16